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Hurricane
Management
By Maxwell Pereira
mfjpkamath@gmail.com
With
Hurricane Rita following on the heels of Hurricane Katrina - and
with all the news you hear and see on television being nothing
else but the destruction and damage the two wreaked in their path,
about uprooted trees and broken homes, the resultant misery and
trauma that goes with leaving home, evacuate to safer levels,
of gasoline shortages and break-downs and of traffic hold ups
- well
. I have been wondering whether at all I am holidaying
in that land of promise and plenty, land of everything that's
nice and perfect, the land in which nothing ever went wrong! What's
become of that America and the American dream the world looked
up to - has it soured, I am forced to ponder!
But
then, its reality! American life today continues to be traumatised
by hurricanes, and analysis of what has gone wrong and what has
been done right, of damage assessments, insurance and reconstruction,
of aid mobilisation, community involvement and disaster management.
Yes,
disaster management! The most important area of activity, when
calamities and disasters strike with the frequency they've been,
in parts of USA. The quality of advance information, alerts and
warnings, level of anticipation and assessment, mobilisation of
resources and infrastructure - for evacuating whole cities even
the likes of Houston, Texas. Which they did, in time, in the face
of the advancing Hurricane Rita. A whole country proud of the
fact that they faced Rita as best they could, having learnt from
the scars of Katrina. The unpreparedness, the lack of adequate
response of the former, never to be repeated.
That
makes me think and compare. We in India patted our backs at our
snobbish ability to refuse aid from foreign agencies/ countries
- read here America
in the aftermath of the Tsunami. And
someone somewhere dared compare New Orleans vs. Mumbai in the
wake of the unprecedented floods faced by both almost simultaneously
in diametrically different and opposite parts of the globe - to
claim that we fared better! So with hurricanes so much a matter
of concern, I want to know more. How has India faced its own hurricanes
and floods?
Of
floods we know - year after year, vast areas along India's major
rivers flooded, areas submerged and inundated, with us wringing
our hands in despair, pointing accusing fingers at government
and its agencies: Oh why?
is it that we are unable to do
something about containing these floods, of gearing up infrastructure
to minimise the onslaught and its impact when it happens repeatedly
every year.
But
of hurricanes? Not much is known in the Indian context! We do
hear of the East coast of our country - particularly the Andhra
and the Orissa coast line being battered by Cyclones and Toophans,
of sea walls ravaging the coastline in their wake leaving behind
rampage and destruction. But not even the meteorological department
of India has any worthwhile data for analysis. So you tap the
internet. Even the internet is devoid of data on cyclones or hurricanes
in the Indian region. This, when most sea disturbances that cause
depressions and resultant wind activation are supposed to originate
and occur in the tropical belts of the Indian Ocean between India
and the African Continent. In the circumstances, it is no wonder
that most hurricanes known, named and listed are in the Atlantic/Pacific
region, taking centre stage in so far as world data on hurricanes
is concerned.
The
scant info for the Indian region available on the internet does
have one detailed spatial analysis presented of the destruction
caused by tropical hurricane 07B which made landfall on 6/7 November
1996 over the Godavari Delta region, Andhra Pradesh. Patterns
of destruction by storm surge, wind and flood water are quantitatively
mapped for death tolls, house destruction and agricultural damage
using local administrative (mandal) data bases. There is mention
of one other later, in the Assam belt. The case material on hurricane
07B and its effects are placed in context by reviewing and updating
long and medium-term time series records of storm frequencies
and impacts in the Bay of Bengal and particularly along the eastern
coastline of India.
It
is a different scene in the American context. Hurricane forecasting
was known in the 1800s, though till the telegraph was invented
in 1844, news of approaching hurricanes arrived just ahead of
their landfall, when sailors seeking safe harbour announced them.
Even with the telegraph, pinpointing the location of a hurricane
though was difficult and tracking its course impossible. But thanks
to satellite technology now, no hurricane goes unnoticed.
Over
the past decade, satellites have been equipped with sensors that
"see" through rain to pinpoint the centre, or eye, of
a storm. To tell exactly where the centre of a developing storm
is, in what direction it's headed, and how quickly it will move.
Airborne computer labs now routinely fly into any hurricane --
defined as an intense tropical weather systems with winds over
74 mph -- that threatens to make landfall. Their crews drop sensors
into the storm to determine the exact speed and direction of the
wind, among the data.
Prior
to 1950 storms weren't officially named. From 1950 to 1952 they
were named simply Able, Baker, Charlie, Dog, Easy, Fox, George...not
very imaginative, but it sufficed. From 1953 to 1978 someone decided
to use only female names. Finally, in 1979, they started alternating
between male and female names. Hurricanes now are named alphabetically,
years in advance and starting the alphabet over each year. The
Atlantic and the Pacific have separate naming lists. Interestingly,
in this year's list, Katrina and Rita were separated by Lee, Maria,
Nate, Ophelia and Philippe - the others in 2005 being Arlene,
Bret, Cindy, Dennis, Emily, Franklin, Gert, Harvey, Irene, and
Jose.
900
words: 27.09.2005: Copy Right © Maxwell Pereira: 3725 Sec-23,
Gurgaon-122002. You can interact with the author at http://
www.maxwellperira.com and maxpk@vsnl.com
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